The Patriots are 16-0 in the playoffs under Belichick when they have a positive turnover differential. Including the regular season, they are 159-15 with a positive turnover differential under Belichick (2000 to present). Those are decisive statistics. So the best chance to beat them is by winning the turnover differential (Patriots are 42-48 in the negative under Belichick), or at least drawing even (Patriots are 39-20 under Belichick). One potential positive for the Jaguars: They were plus-10 in the regular season, which tied for the fifth-best mark in the NFL. The Patriots were plus-six, which ranked 11th.